“Neraca
Perdagangan Awal Tahun Diprediksi Melemah”
Menteri Keuangan
Muhamad Chatib Basri mengatakan neraca perdagangan pada awal tahun ini
diprediksi melemah dan berpotensi mengalami defisit. Menurut dia, kondisi itu
merupakan cermin siklus tahunan jika kinerja dagang pada awal tahun masih belum
maksimal. (Baca juga : Strategi Menteri Chatib Tekan Defisit Negara)"Bisa
(defisit). Saya lihat tahun-tahun lalu itu kalau Januari ekspornya relatif
kecil karena baru mulai. Kami belum tahu forcast angkanya. Kalau pun surplus
kecil," kata Chatib di Kompleks Parlemen Senayan, Jakarta, Selasa, 25
Februari 2014.
Dia meminta pasar tidak
kaget dengan kondisi tersebut. Menurut dia, meskipun kondisi ekonomi sudah
mulai membaik, ekonomi tidak bisa langsung berlari kencang dan semua persoalan
sudah selesai. "Harus pelan-pelan sampai current account deficit (defisit
transaksi berjalan) 2,5 persen. Kalau surplus kecil atau defisit ini hanya
temporary. Nanti dia akan terus mengalami kenaikan," katanya. (Lihat juga
: Menkeu Targetkan Defisit Transaksi Berjalan Turun)
Deputi Gubernur Bank
Indonesia Perry Warjiyo sebelumnya optimistis defisit transaksi berjalan pada
2014 akan menurun. Alasannya, portofolio investasi yang masuk ke Indonesia
tahun ini diperkirakan cukup besar dibandingkan dengan tahun lalu yang hanya
US$ 10 miliar. Selain itu, neraca perdagangan juga diperkirakan mengalami
surplus pada 2014. Secara musiman,
neraca pembayaran triwulan pertama akan lebih rendah dari triwulan keempat
tahun 2014. (Berita terkait : BI Optimistis Defisit Transaksi Berjalan Menurun)
»Sedangkan di triwulan kedua jika dibandingkan pada
trwulan pertama, setelah itu akan turun di triwulan ketiga dan keempat,” ujar Perry.
“Trade
Balance at Beginning of Year Predicted to Weaken”
Finance Minister
Muhammad Chatib Basri said the trade balance at the beginning of this year is
predicted to weaken and potentially a deficit. According to him, it is a
reflection of the condition if the yearly cycle in early trade performance is
not maximized. (Read also: Strategy Minister of State Deficit Chatib Press)
"Can (deficit). I saw years ago that if January is relatively small
because exports are just beginning. Forcast We do not know the numbers. If any
small surplus," said Chatib in Parliament Complex in Senayan, Jakarta,
Tuesday, February 25, 2014.
He asked not to shock
the market with these conditions. According to him, despite the economic
conditions have started to improve, the economy can not be directly run fast
and all the issues have been completed. "Should slowly until the current
account deficit (current account deficit) of 2.5 percent. If a small surplus or
deficit is only temporary. Later he would continue to rise," he said. (See
also: Current Account Deficit Target minister Down)
Bank Indonesia Deputy
Governor Perry Warjiyo previous optimistic the current account deficit in 2014
will decline. The reason, portfolio investment into Indonesia this year is
quite large compared to the last year only U.S. $ 10 billion. In addition, the
trade balance is also expected to have a surplus in 2014. Seasonally, the first
quarter balance of payments will be lower than the fourth quarter of 2014.
(Related News: BI Optimistic Current Account Deficit Decreasing)
»Meanwhile, in the second quarter compared to the
first trwulan, after which it will go down in the third and fourth
quarters," said Perry.
Link source :
https://id.berita.yahoo.com/neraca-perdagangan-awal-tahun-diprediksi-melemah-221041934--finance.html